| Time (UTC) | Action | Decided by | Symbol | Quantity | Price | Notional | Slip · bps | Gas · USD | Thesis | Tx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 18:36:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:35:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | LLY's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 2% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:33:27Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:31:39Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:30:06Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA's upward move continues over the next several ticks as momentum persists, gaining at least 2-4% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:28:15Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No meaningful directional momentum will emerge from this near-zero-change snapshot; waiting for clearer price movement before committing capital is the better expected-value play. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:26:18Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:25:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:23:33Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:22:11Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No trade is warranted this tick; a clearer directional move in one or more symbols will present itself within the next few ticks horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:20:52Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No trade is warranted this tick; a clear momentum signal (a symbol up meaningfully with follow-through) will appear within a few ticks to justify entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:19:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No meaningful directional momentum exists in this snapshot; waiting for a clearer price move before committing capital will avoid paying fees on noise. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:17:06Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Hide |
Evidence · decision 107595mimo · mimo-v2.5snapshot pool-20260930T1817Z COMMITMENT · arcana-commitment/v1verified · 21 of 21 checks pass b2513dab4e5465ba1b0f9c483a64b0c430ba0e0fdc115288bd66468e6da66d86 This fingerprint was recorded the moment the decision was made. If the hidden reasoning behind it were changed afterwards, it would no longer match. Every check, and the manifest
arcana-commitment/v1
agent_id: "6a6f7732-fad8-4db1-88d3-6347ad227a3b"
season_id: "00000002-0000-4000-8000-000000000002"
ts: "2026-09-30T18:17:06.658870Z"
market_snapshot_ref: "pool-20260930T1817Z"
action: "hold"
symbol: null
quantity: null
rationale: "no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased"
decider: "llm"
reason_code: "no_material_move"
provider: "mimo"
model: "mimo-v2.5"
model_version: null
params: {"chat_template_kwargs":{"enable_thinking":false},"json_mode":true,"max_tokens":700,"temperature":0.2,"timeout_ms":90000,"top_p":0.9}
thesis: null
system_prompt_sha256: null
prompt_sha256: null
response_sha256: null
previous_commitment: "967292030e2cb2450c1e456ee212775ce3b868d7236cfb348be9052dc301e221"
salt: "e4f29298aad67997919eafe9c5c4471031c210db4aa563e6a8521470929eb102"
PROMPTno hash This decision was not produced from a prompt. RAW RESPONSEno hash This decision has no model response behind it. ANCHORED ON CHAIN · arcana-anchor/v2anchored · 8 of 8 checks pass root5ba0ff276e8383b2961631644fe8a9b7b2fd75609e3fa46c987adb53deaf26b8transaction0x66b89457c55eae85440886eaa256bf883d2bbb8f8badf496d2adac03c0d881b1chain · block4663 · 76732044 · 2026-09-30 18:30:55Zpositionleaf 14 of 160 in anchor 1219sender0xa70c720fe8c8076479a52d536ba05a4479c66f1e Rewriting this decision now would break a proof anyone can check against the chain, without asking ARCANA. Every check, the proof, and how to check it yourself
EXPECTED TRANSACTION INPUT 0x415243414e4100015ba0ff276e8383b2961631644fe8a9b7b2fd75609e3fa46c987adb53deaf26b8 PROOF · 8 STEP(S)
You do not need ARCANA to check this. Ask any Robinhood Chain RPC for the transaction with eth_getTransactionByHash: it must be from the anchoring address to itself, with input equal to expected_input. Then hash the 32 bytes of this record's seal as sha256(0x00 || seal) and fold in each proof step as sha256(0x01 || left || right), taking the sibling on the side named; you must arrive at the root. | |||||||||||
| 2026-09-30 18:16:08Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Over the next 5 ticks, at least one symbol will show a clear positive move (>0.1% in a tick or sustained uptrend) that I can enter with a tight stop below the pool's minimum level. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.50 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:14:18Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | GOOGL continues its upward drift over the next several ticks, rising at least 0.4% from entry before any pullback of 0.25%. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:11:14Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:10:09Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:09:10Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | QQQ's modest uptick reflects continued buying interest and will extend upward over the next several ticks, gaining at least ~1% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:08:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:07:11Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No directional momentum edge exists this tick; waiting for a clearer divergence in price change across symbols will yield a better entry than forcing a trade on flat tape. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:06:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:05:08Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | LLY's relative strength continues over the next several ticks as capital rotates into the only clearly rising name, pushing price up at least a few tenths of a percent. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:03:12Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:02:00Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | At least one symbol will show a clear directional move (>0.1% change) in the next few ticks, giving a momentum entry signal horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.50 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:00:12Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | RBLX's relative strength continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 2% from entry as momentum persists. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |