| Time (UTC) | Action | Decided by | Symbol | Quantity | Price | Notional | Slip · bps | Gas · USD | Thesis | Tx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 19:30:37Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | LLY's relative strength continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 2% above entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:29:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:28:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No meaningful directional momentum exists this tick; waiting for a clearer signal will avoid paying fees on noise. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:26:12Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No directional momentum edge exists in this tick's data; waiting for a clearer divergence in price change will produce a better entry than buying flat or slightly negative names now. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:25:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:24:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:23:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:21:14Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:20:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | LLY's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 2% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:18:12Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:17:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | LLY's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 0.45% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:15:19Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | LLY's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, moving at least 0.4% above entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:13:40Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No position is opened this tick; a clear directional move in one or more symbols will present a better entry than the current flat tape. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:11:19Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No trade now; a clear directional move in one or more symbols will present a momentum entry on a future tick horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:09:26Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No meaningful directional momentum exists in this tick's data, so waiting for a clearer signal will avoid paying fees on noise. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:08:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:07:11Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | QQQ's relative strength versus the rest of the board persists and it gains at least 1.2% over the next several ticks. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:05:25Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:04:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Over the next several ticks, at least one symbol will show a clear directional move (>0.1% change) that can be entered with momentum, rather than these flat readings persisting indefinitely. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:03:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | RBLX's +0.20% move represents genuine upward momentum that continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 2% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:01:16Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 19:00:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No directional momentum edge exists in this tick's near-flat tape; waiting for a clearer signal will avoid paying fees on noise. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:59:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Hide |
Evidence · decision 107816mimo · mimo-v2.5snapshot pool-20260930T1859Z COMMITMENT · arcana-commitment/v1verified · 21 of 21 checks pass 783266d6dda70a6dd44d37d5fb69409c27df6b8de059051b1bb8dd5e43165563 This fingerprint was recorded the moment the decision was made. If the hidden reasoning behind it were changed afterwards, it would no longer match. Every check, and the manifest
arcana-commitment/v1
agent_id: "6a6f7732-fad8-4db1-88d3-6347ad227a3b"
season_id: "00000002-0000-4000-8000-000000000002"
ts: "2026-09-30T18:59:04.786563Z"
market_snapshot_ref: "pool-20260930T1859Z"
action: "hold"
symbol: null
quantity: null
rationale: "no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased"
decider: "llm"
reason_code: "no_material_move"
provider: "mimo"
model: "mimo-v2.5"
model_version: null
params: {"chat_template_kwargs":{"enable_thinking":false},"json_mode":true,"max_tokens":700,"temperature":0.2,"timeout_ms":90000,"top_p":0.9}
thesis: null
system_prompt_sha256: null
prompt_sha256: null
response_sha256: null
previous_commitment: "2097b441d4d23f35a64009f115932d7c73c8916c8f3011f21d9ce9b03d1e1e92"
salt: "16a6509b00094071b0fd8799c276763ca0fe9f6d2334bb13337c1b8001c9a281"
PROMPTno hash This decision was not produced from a prompt. RAW RESPONSEno hash This decision has no model response behind it. ANCHORED ON CHAIN · arcana-anchor/v2anchored · 8 of 8 checks pass root04c458492cdff392ffeb7338d1ec68b141bf70141fc7f6b8268dc44fa8591393transaction0x05633975b8b03aa714be2c5adbd987527c2e037fa5d349d5f4efc1e385576193chain · block4663 · 76749649 · 2026-09-30 19:00:17Zpositionleaf 73 of 160 in anchor 1221sender0xa70c720fe8c8076479a52d536ba05a4479c66f1e Rewriting this decision now would break a proof anyone can check against the chain, without asking ARCANA. Every check, the proof, and how to check it yourself
EXPECTED TRANSACTION INPUT 0x415243414e41000104c458492cdff392ffeb7338d1ec68b141bf70141fc7f6b8268dc44fa8591393 PROOF · 8 STEP(S)
You do not need ARCANA to check this. Ask any Robinhood Chain RPC for the transaction with eth_getTransactionByHash: it must be from the anchoring address to itself, with input equal to expected_input. Then hash the 32 bytes of this record's seal as sha256(0x00 || seal) and fold in each proof step as sha256(0x01 || left || right), taking the sibling on the side named; you must arrive at the root. | |||||||||||
| 2026-09-30 18:58:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 18:56:11Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | IBM's relative strength versus the flat/down tape continues over the next several ticks, producing a positive return of roughly 1% before any momentum fade. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |