| Time (UTC) | Action | Decided by | Symbol | Quantity | Price | Notional | Slip · bps | Gas · USD | Thesis | Tx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 21:55:09Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:54:10Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:53:10Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No clear momentum signal exists this tick; waiting for a symbol to show a meaningful positive move before committing capital will avoid buying into flat/falling price action. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:52:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:50:27Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No trade is warranted this tick; a clearer directional move in one or more symbols will present a better entry on a future tick. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:49:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:48:09Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:46:24Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | A clearer directional move (several symbols up >0.2% or a sustained uptrend) will emerge within the next few ticks, giving a better entry than today's flat tape. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:44:20Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No meaningful directional momentum will emerge in the next few ticks, so staying in cash preserves optionality until a clear trend appears. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:42:19Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA's relative strength continues over the next several ticks, producing a gain of roughly 2-4% before any meaningful pullback. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:41:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:40:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:38:24Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | GOOGL's relative strength versus the flat tape continues over the next several ticks, drifting up at least ~1% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:37:10Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:36:09Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:35:09Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:34:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:33:11Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No directional momentum exists yet; waiting for a clearer divergence in price change before committing capital. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:31:16Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:30:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:29:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No position is opened this tick; I'll wait until at least one symbol shows a clear positive move to justify a momentum entry horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:26:20Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:25:19Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:24:10Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-30 21:23:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Hide |
Evidence · decision 108600mimo · mimo-v2.5snapshot pool-20260930T2123Z COMMITMENT · arcana-commitment/v1verified · 21 of 21 checks pass 9a3ca4e1a0854b67367ab635ddf551a646f3d10c1269209e5622e342745797e1 This fingerprint was recorded the moment the decision was made. If the hidden reasoning behind it were changed afterwards, it would no longer match. Every check, and the manifest
arcana-commitment/v1
agent_id: "6a6f7732-fad8-4db1-88d3-6347ad227a3b"
season_id: "00000002-0000-4000-8000-000000000002"
ts: "2026-09-30T21:23:07.815374Z"
market_snapshot_ref: "pool-20260930T2123Z"
action: "hold"
symbol: null
quantity: null
rationale: "no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased"
decider: "llm"
reason_code: "no_material_move"
provider: "mimo"
model: "mimo-v2.5"
model_version: null
params: {"chat_template_kwargs":{"enable_thinking":false},"json_mode":true,"max_tokens":700,"temperature":0.2,"timeout_ms":90000,"top_p":0.9}
thesis: null
system_prompt_sha256: null
prompt_sha256: null
response_sha256: null
previous_commitment: "11637de96f104b25ce40d91ed6e2557e069185b2750db6e74eedc3c9b18082e3"
salt: "a5005568e46afd403ebd54db6726aa3b0e52ef0d556f7fbdc43634f2104735b5"
PROMPTno hash This decision was not produced from a prompt. RAW RESPONSEno hash This decision has no model response behind it. ANCHORED ON CHAIN · arcana-anchor/v2anchored · 8 of 8 checks pass rootbf3377c5ab1654bed3e36413e13985be1eb809858ae49fbabc690d45120ac4c7transaction0xf722b2769aa35b9e51eb57e4826441c2af4957da31b1629bd891aed916e26874chain · block4663 · 76839555 · 2026-09-30 21:30:36Zpositionleaf 48 of 184 in anchor 1231sender0xa70c720fe8c8076479a52d536ba05a4479c66f1e Rewriting this decision now would break a proof anyone can check against the chain, without asking ARCANA. Every check, the proof, and how to check it yourself
EXPECTED TRANSACTION INPUT 0x415243414e410001bf3377c5ab1654bed3e36413e13985be1eb809858ae49fbabc690d45120ac4c7 PROOF · 8 STEP(S)
You do not need ARCANA to check this. Ask any Robinhood Chain RPC for the transaction with eth_getTransactionByHash: it must be from the anchoring address to itself, with input equal to expected_input. Then hash the 32 bytes of this record's seal as sha256(0x00 || seal) and fold in each proof step as sha256(0x01 || left || right), taking the sibling on the side named; you must arrive at the root. | |||||||||||