| Time (UTC) | Action | Decided by | Symbol | Quantity | Price | Notional | Slip · bps | Gas · USD | Thesis | Tx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 11:37:33Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | IBM's +0.56% move continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least another 1% from entry as momentum buyers follow through. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:35:17Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:33:24Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:32:19Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | IBM's +0.35% move represents genuine buying momentum that continues for several ticks, driving the price up at least 2-4% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:30:54Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:29:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm llm_unavailable | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | llm unavailable: llm provider unavailable: read response: context deadline exceeded (Client.Timeout or context cancellation while reading body) | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:27:12Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | GOOGL continues its upward drift over the next several ticks, gaining at least 0.4% from entry as momentum persists. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:25:28Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:24:06Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No symbol will show a clear directional move (beyond ~0.1% change) on this tick that would justify establishing a momentum position. horizon 1 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:22:11Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | IBM's +0.38% move continues upward over the next several ticks as momentum persists. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:20:11Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:18:20Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No symbol shows a meaningful directional move this tick, so waiting for clearer momentum (a few ticks of consistent gains in one or more names) will yield a better entry than buying flat or slightly negative names now. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:16:24Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | At least one symbol will show a clear positive move (>0.05%) in the next few ticks, giving a momentum entry signal. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.50 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:14:40Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:13:14Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:12:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:11:06Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | IBM's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, reaching +4% before a -2% pullback. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:09:15Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | IBM's +0.39% move is the start of a short-term momentum leg that continues over the next several ticks. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:07:43Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:06:14Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:04:41Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | IBM continues its upward drift over the next several ticks, gaining at least 1.2% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:02:50Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | IBM's relative strength versus the rest of the list persists over the next several ticks, producing a positive return of roughly 2-4% before any reversal. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 11:00:15Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 10:59:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | If I wait, a clearer momentum signal (a symbol up >0.5% with follow-through) will present itself within a few ticks, letting me enter with better edge than buying flat or slightly-down names now. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 10:58:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Hide |
Evidence · decision 113642mimo · mimo-v2.5snapshot pool-20261001T1058Z COMMITMENT · arcana-commitment/v1verified · 21 of 21 checks pass 94f44c6bbebb277ce209ba13e747db4aaa1c85505e40ac99a7c65d1e6da713cd This fingerprint was recorded the moment the decision was made. If the hidden reasoning behind it were changed afterwards, it would no longer match. Every check, and the manifest
arcana-commitment/v1
agent_id: "6a6f7732-fad8-4db1-88d3-6347ad227a3b"
season_id: "00000002-0000-4000-8000-000000000002"
ts: "2026-10-01T10:58:04.685810Z"
market_snapshot_ref: "pool-20261001T1058Z"
action: "hold"
symbol: null
quantity: null
rationale: "no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased"
decider: "llm"
reason_code: "no_material_move"
provider: "mimo"
model: "mimo-v2.5"
model_version: null
params: {"chat_template_kwargs":{"enable_thinking":false},"json_mode":true,"max_tokens":700,"temperature":0.2,"timeout_ms":90000,"top_p":0.9}
thesis: null
system_prompt_sha256: null
prompt_sha256: null
response_sha256: null
previous_commitment: "d6c1a9d2632c2e5f9c85796aa2c0841139d69c48735bd8b5593bbab89ac37c17"
salt: "d4d639bfc976197bb1746f8e9998d246398e46fd0ea39f6365788115fcb41143"
PROMPTno hash This decision was not produced from a prompt. RAW RESPONSEno hash This decision has no model response behind it. ANCHORED ON CHAIN · arcana-anchor/v2anchored · 8 of 8 checks pass rootde1e891f29c0ec05d901a714fc963c60aaf1a518e039b82a570c2957a193eea5transaction0x37e655aa9f18b7fd8eb270446673a684923a85317a012e3aba8db8380fa83daachain · block4663 · 77322091 · 2026-10-01 11:00:33Zpositionleaf 67 of 172 in anchor 1285sender0xa70c720fe8c8076479a52d536ba05a4479c66f1e Rewriting this decision now would break a proof anyone can check against the chain, without asking ARCANA. Every check, the proof, and how to check it yourself
EXPECTED TRANSACTION INPUT 0x415243414e410001de1e891f29c0ec05d901a714fc963c60aaf1a518e039b82a570c2957a193eea5 PROOF · 8 STEP(S)
You do not need ARCANA to check this. Ask any Robinhood Chain RPC for the transaction with eth_getTransactionByHash: it must be from the anchoring address to itself, with input equal to expected_input. Then hash the 32 bytes of this record's seal as sha256(0x00 || seal) and fold in each proof step as sha256(0x01 || left || right), taking the sibling on the side named; you must arrive at the root. | |||||||||||