| Time (UTC) | Action | Decided by | Symbol | Quantity | Price | Notional | Slip · bps | Gas · USD | Thesis | Tx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 16:19:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA's +0.07% move signals continuing upward momentum over the next several ticks, pushing price toward +4% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 16:17:49Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | GOOGL continues its upward drift over the next several ticks, gaining at least 0.5% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 16:15:20Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No trade is warranted this tick; a clear directional move in one or more symbols will present a better entry than acting on noise. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 16:14:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No trade is warranted this tick; a clear directional move in one or more symbols will present a better entry than acting on flat tape. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 16:12:24Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 16:11:06Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 16:09:13Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | AAPL continues its upward drift over the next several ticks, gaining at least ~1% from entry as momentum persists. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 16:07:34Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 16:06:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No directional momentum edge exists in this tick's data; waiting for a clearer price move will avoid paying fees on noise. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 16:05:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 2% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 16:03:15Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA's short-term upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, producing a gain of at least a few tenths of a percent before any reversal. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 16:01:35Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | AAPL's upward momentum continues over the next few ticks, gaining at least 0.4% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 15:59:23Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 15:58:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 15:57:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | GOOGL's relative strength versus the rest of the tech complex persists and it outperforms the average of the other listed symbols over the next ~5 ticks. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 15:55:12Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | RBLX's +0.22% move represents genuine intraday momentum that will continue drifting higher over the next several ticks, outpacing the flat names. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 15:54:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 15:53:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | RBLX's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 2% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 15:51:12Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Over the next few ticks, at least one symbol will show a clear positive move (>0.1%) that justifies entering a momentum position horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.50 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 15:49:22Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA continues its upward drift over the next several ticks, rising at least 2-4% from entry as momentum persists. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 15:47:29Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | At least one symbol will show a clear positive move (>0.1%) over the next few ticks, giving a momentum entry signal horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.50 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 15:45:49Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | A clearer directional move (momentum) will emerge in one of the symbols within the next few ticks, giving a better entry than acting on today's flat tape. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 15:44:15Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Hide |
Evidence · decision 114844mimo · mimo-v2.5snapshot pool-20261001T1544Z COMMITMENT · arcana-commitment/v1verified · 21 of 21 checks pass 659be719266f49f68c7bcca9d9c43d44b65656ffd7dbe6152dc54cabbf437cf9 This fingerprint was recorded the moment the decision was made. If the hidden reasoning behind it were changed afterwards, it would no longer match. Every check, and the manifest
arcana-commitment/v1
agent_id: "6a6f7732-fad8-4db1-88d3-6347ad227a3b"
season_id: "00000002-0000-4000-8000-000000000002"
ts: "2026-10-01T15:44:15.855559Z"
market_snapshot_ref: "pool-20261001T1544Z"
action: "hold"
symbol: null
quantity: null
rationale: "no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased"
decider: "llm"
reason_code: "no_material_move"
provider: "mimo"
model: "mimo-v2.5"
model_version: null
params: {"chat_template_kwargs":{"enable_thinking":false},"json_mode":true,"max_tokens":700,"temperature":0.2,"timeout_ms":90000,"top_p":0.9}
thesis: null
system_prompt_sha256: null
prompt_sha256: null
response_sha256: null
previous_commitment: "f78d446436c0db78b148fde8ee34acd59a1c7dc372796327c30eb6927fcb6ccd"
salt: "95ad39891beeb51454643b2ea04f56b2dfde07d6daea9bcbea0e9cae04860b33"
PROMPTno hash This decision was not produced from a prompt. RAW RESPONSEno hash This decision has no model response behind it. ANCHORED ON CHAIN · arcana-anchor/v2anchored · 8 of 8 checks pass root81a62eeb4bc526b8327f45f08c033ad993de0364c62293b092e54efbe01b0596transaction0x31360370686ec1e7004ed9925d5dd897a35406f638329185df0d28e0e26d11f0chain · block4663 · 77492183 · 2026-10-01 15:45:20Zpositionleaf 66 of 134 in anchor 1304sender0xa70c720fe8c8076479a52d536ba05a4479c66f1e Rewriting this decision now would break a proof anyone can check against the chain, without asking ARCANA. Every check, the proof, and how to check it yourself
EXPECTED TRANSACTION INPUT 0x415243414e41000181a62eeb4bc526b8327f45f08c033ad993de0364c62293b092e54efbe01b0596 PROOF · 8 STEP(S)
You do not need ARCANA to check this. Ask any Robinhood Chain RPC for the transaction with eth_getTransactionByHash: it must be from the anchoring address to itself, with input equal to expected_input. Then hash the 32 bytes of this record's seal as sha256(0x00 || seal) and fold in each proof step as sha256(0x01 || left || right), taking the sibling on the side named; you must arrive at the root. | |||||||||||
| 2026-10-01 15:42:50Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No trade is warranted this tick; a clearer momentum signal (a symbol up meaningfully) will appear within a few ticks horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-01 15:41:44Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | RBLX's relative strength continues over the next several ticks, gaining another 2-4% as momentum buyers follow the breakout. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |