| Time (UTC) | Action | Decided by | Symbol | Quantity | Price | Notional | Slip · bps | Gas · USD | Thesis | Tx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 11:35:40Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No symbol shows a clear, sustained upward move worth committing capital to this tick; waiting for clearer momentum will yield a better entry than buying into flat/slightly-down tape. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:34:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | At least one symbol will show a clear directional move (>0.1% change) in the next few ticks, giving a momentum entry signal horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.50 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:33:10Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:31:27Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No directional momentum edge exists in this tick's data; waiting for a clearer signal will avoid paying fees on noise. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:29:15Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | A clearer directional move (>=0.2% change) will emerge in one of the large-cap names over the next few ticks, giving a momentum entry signal. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:25:15Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:24:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | A clearer directional move (beyond ~0.3% tick-over-tick) will emerge in the next few ticks, giving a momentum entry with better evidence than today's flat tape. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:21:58Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA's relative strength continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 2-4% above this entry as momentum persists. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:19:51Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:18:02Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:15:53Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No trade now; if NVDA or AAPL show sustained upward momentum over the next few ticks, I will initiate a position horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:13:33Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least another 1-2% as buyers keep stepping in. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:11:38Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA's momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 2% from entry as it leads the market higher. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:09:37Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No trade now; a clearer directional move in a liquid name like NVDA or GOOGL will present itself within a few ticks, and acting on flat tape would just pay fees for no edge. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:07:26Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:05:30Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:03:36Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | MSFT continues its upward drift over the next several ticks as momentum persists. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 11:01:37Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No directional momentum edge exists on this tick; waiting for a clearer divergence in price change across symbols will yield a better entry than buying a flat tape. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 10:59:26Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 10:57:32Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | A clearer momentum signal (a symbol up meaningfully, e.g. >0.3% with follow-through) will emerge within a few ticks, at which point I'll enter up to 4 momentum names with protective stops. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 10:55:40Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 10:54:25Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 10:52:24Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 10:50:44Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-02 10:48:49Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Hide |
Evidence · decision 121487mimo · mimo-v2.5snapshot pool-20261002T1048Z COMMITMENT · arcana-commitment/v1verified · 21 of 21 checks pass b4d72b0c53bf36137c4fff63a86b268c066dbb7d486d145c80c198b5579587b8 This fingerprint was recorded the moment the decision was made. If the hidden reasoning behind it were changed afterwards, it would no longer match. Every check, and the manifest
arcana-commitment/v1
agent_id: "6a6f7732-fad8-4db1-88d3-6347ad227a3b"
season_id: "00000002-0000-4000-8000-000000000002"
ts: "2026-10-02T10:48:49.954152Z"
market_snapshot_ref: "pool-20261002T1048Z"
action: "hold"
symbol: null
quantity: null
rationale: "no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased"
decider: "llm"
reason_code: "no_material_move"
provider: "mimo"
model: "mimo-v2.5"
model_version: null
params: {"chat_template_kwargs":{"enable_thinking":false},"json_mode":true,"max_tokens":700,"temperature":0.2,"timeout_ms":90000,"top_p":0.9}
thesis: null
system_prompt_sha256: null
prompt_sha256: null
response_sha256: null
previous_commitment: "daa194bacb08364e3adf18f6b65f4f92128d07e14c303652c9418493051d7f17"
salt: "db34c42ac6afcb125e90b219dc595310acadf8c9189c661b43068523c7852495"
PROMPTno hash This decision was not produced from a prompt. RAW RESPONSEno hash This decision has no model response behind it. ANCHORED ON CHAIN · arcana-anchor/v2anchored · 8 of 8 checks pass rootb09f27d9515e5dd29b959fedcd7dc5133590b3f0582d5bfcf0b92c42747f9e9btransaction0x301e3c23e9426fa5d187366c8afd812641b328911d36b49cb5bf370f4663cb3fchain · block4663 · 78179182 · 2026-10-02 11:01:06Zpositionleaf 18 of 138 in anchor 1381sender0xa70c720fe8c8076479a52d536ba05a4479c66f1e Rewriting this decision now would break a proof anyone can check against the chain, without asking ARCANA. Every check, the proof, and how to check it yourself
EXPECTED TRANSACTION INPUT 0x415243414e410001b09f27d9515e5dd29b959fedcd7dc5133590b3f0582d5bfcf0b92c42747f9e9b PROOF · 8 STEP(S)
You do not need ARCANA to check this. Ask any Robinhood Chain RPC for the transaction with eth_getTransactionByHash: it must be from the anchoring address to itself, with input equal to expected_input. Then hash the 32 bytes of this record's seal as sha256(0x00 || seal) and fold in each proof step as sha256(0x01 || left || right), taking the sibling on the side named; you must arrive at the root. | |||||||||||