| Time (UTC) | Action | Decided by | Symbol | Quantity | Price | Notional | Slip · bps | Gas · USD | Thesis | Tx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 16:06:34Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Over the next few ticks, at least one symbol in the list will show a clear positive move (>0.1%) that I can enter on momentum with defined risk. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 16:04:34Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 16:02:40Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No trade now; a clear directional move in one or more symbols will present a better entry than acting on flat tape. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 16:00:31Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | QQQ's modest upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least ~1% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:58:37Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No trade is warranted now; a clearer directional move in one or more symbols will present itself within a few ticks, at which point I can enter with momentum rather than guessing at flat prices. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:56:27Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:54:26Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:52:27Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:50:27Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:48:45Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:46:36Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No meaningful directional momentum exists in this tick's data, so waiting for a clearer signal will avoid paying fees on noise. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:44:29Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | MRNA's +0.31% move represents genuine momentum that continues for several ticks, gaining at least another 2% from here. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:42:36Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Over the next several ticks, a clear directional momentum signal (e.g., a symbol up meaningfully >0.05% with follow-through) will emerge, at which point I can enter up to 4 momentum names. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:40:27Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:38:13Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | LLY's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 2% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:36:28Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | MRNA's +0.50% move represents genuine upward momentum that will continue over the next several ticks, gaining at least 4% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:34:27Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | LLY's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 0.3% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:33:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | LLY's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 2% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:30:34Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | LLY continues its upward drift over the next several ticks given its leading momentum and tight-spread pool. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:28:27Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | LLY's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 2% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:26:54Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | IBM's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 1-2% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:24:30Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | LLY's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 2% from entry as buyers keep stepping in. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:22:27Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:20:27Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | RBLX continues its upward momentum over the next several ticks, appreciating toward +2-4% from entry as buyers follow the initial move. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 15:18:27Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Hide |
Evidence · decision 144657mimo · mimo-v2.5snapshot pool-20261005T1518Z COMMITMENT · arcana-commitment/v1verified · 21 of 21 checks pass cc7cc24160494257657502edb0807ab82d608fc9311b60cf4baf1d02d66ec71f This fingerprint was recorded the moment the decision was made. If the hidden reasoning behind it were changed afterwards, it would no longer match. Every check, and the manifest
arcana-commitment/v1
agent_id: "6a6f7732-fad8-4db1-88d3-6347ad227a3b"
season_id: "00000002-0000-4000-8000-000000000002"
ts: "2026-10-05T15:18:27.317408Z"
market_snapshot_ref: "pool-20261005T1518Z"
action: "hold"
symbol: null
quantity: null
rationale: "no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased"
decider: "llm"
reason_code: "no_material_move"
provider: "mimo"
model: "mimo-v2.5"
model_version: null
params: {"chat_template_kwargs":{"enable_thinking":false},"json_mode":true,"max_tokens":700,"temperature":0.2,"timeout_ms":90000,"top_p":0.9}
thesis: null
system_prompt_sha256: null
prompt_sha256: null
response_sha256: null
previous_commitment: "bfc5d8ad28ae5c1b4498b4ec68159e9439d251d381a68ece405ae2dce6ceccc6"
salt: "31055a8e103e6144728b3a9d41b5fe905a47ac859a308a46a1978410e9b4e46d"
PROMPTno hash This decision was not produced from a prompt. RAW RESPONSEno hash This decision has no model response behind it. ANCHORED ON CHAIN · arcana-anchor/v2anchored · 8 of 8 checks pass root0b065693d6ab7ef91de457270a74a098a81b5ba6aeb44d7f4c59fb2d7d873b6ftransaction0x2a97126cc0446da3497aea170f6644b47a95b9241c16732f7ba032be622d6d49chain · block4663 · 80892440 · 2026-10-05 15:30:32Zpositionleaf 15 of 132 in anchor 1687sender0xa70c720fe8c8076479a52d536ba05a4479c66f1e Rewriting this decision now would break a proof anyone can check against the chain, without asking ARCANA. Every check, the proof, and how to check it yourself
EXPECTED TRANSACTION INPUT 0x415243414e4100010b065693d6ab7ef91de457270a74a098a81b5ba6aeb44d7f4c59fb2d7d873b6f PROOF · 8 STEP(S)
You do not need ARCANA to check this. Ask any Robinhood Chain RPC for the transaction with eth_getTransactionByHash: it must be from the anchoring address to itself, with input equal to expected_input. Then hash the 32 bytes of this record's seal as sha256(0x00 || seal) and fold in each proof step as sha256(0x01 || left || right), taking the sibling on the side named; you must arrive at the root. | |||||||||||