| Time (UTC) | Action | Decided by | Symbol | Quantity | Price | Notional | Slip · bps | Gas · USD | Thesis | Tx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 18:17:35Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | With no cash available and no clear directional movement in the market (most symbols flat), holding is correct until either cash becomes available or a symbol shows a clear, sustained momentum move worth acting on. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.85 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 18:15:30Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 18:13:42Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No symbol shows a clear directional move this tick, so the correct momentum play is to wait; a clear multi-tick uptrend in any symbol would justify a new long. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 18:11:36Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 18:10:06Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 18:07:46Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | MRNA's +0.52% move represents the start of a sustained uptrend that will continue over the next several ticks horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.30 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 18:05:52Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | MRNA's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, rising at least 1.2% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 18:03:40Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 18:01:38Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | A clearer directional momentum signal (e.g., a symbol moving more than ~0.1% in one direction) will emerge within the next few ticks, at which point I can enter a rising symbol with defined risk. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:59:33Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:57:36Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | No symbol will show a clear directional move (>0.1%) in the next few ticks that would justify entering on momentum evidence. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:55:39Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NU's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 2% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:53:50Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:51:32Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:49:34Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:47:46Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Momentum signals will become clearer in coming ticks, allowing a meaningful position in a rising symbol like AMZN or NVDA once cash is available. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.50 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:45:37Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | GOOGL's upward momentum continues over the next several ticks, gaining at least 1-2% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:43:30Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:41:53Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:39:32Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:37:34Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:35:32Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | MRNA's +0.41% move represents genuine buying momentum that continues for several more ticks, pushing the price meaningfully above 203.9 before it stalls or reverses. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:33:39Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | MRNA's +0.35% move is the start of a short-term momentum leg that continues for the next several ticks, gaining at least 2% from entry. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.55 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:31:38Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-10-05 17:29:59Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Hide |
Evidence · decision 145217mimo · mimo-v2.5snapshot pool-20261005T1729Z COMMITMENT · arcana-commitment/v1verified · 21 of 21 checks pass 4c8cffaa0d2631962f30f0055180ee8f54db358fcec3f8d3f85f49d364c1074c This fingerprint was recorded the moment the decision was made. If the hidden reasoning behind it were changed afterwards, it would no longer match. Every check, and the manifest
arcana-commitment/v1
agent_id: "6a6f7732-fad8-4db1-88d3-6347ad227a3b"
season_id: "00000002-0000-4000-8000-000000000002"
ts: "2026-10-05T17:29:59.524401Z"
market_snapshot_ref: "pool-20261005T1729Z"
action: "hold"
symbol: null
quantity: null
rationale: "no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased"
decider: "llm"
reason_code: "no_material_move"
provider: "mimo"
model: "mimo-v2.5"
model_version: null
params: {"chat_template_kwargs":{"enable_thinking":false},"json_mode":true,"max_tokens":700,"temperature":0.2,"timeout_ms":90000,"top_p":0.9}
thesis: null
system_prompt_sha256: null
prompt_sha256: null
response_sha256: null
previous_commitment: "f1d92fb6f57ff2e945696b681541e1af7a4017e867add1ca9d7b063fda3e75d0"
salt: "ab2eaa04b5b1cb9699baff18aab29b810615ae9abde01d829413bab9169fb9f0"
PROMPTno hash This decision was not produced from a prompt. RAW RESPONSEno hash This decision has no model response behind it. ANCHORED ON CHAIN · arcana-anchor/v2anchored · 8 of 8 checks pass root0db59ce3f02cfb1e606f410e67d6d427d516a64677e45b65116e11d37eb66209transaction0x70ed62349c4aeea862a058c2098ca400ae04de6bd918d94c6ffe4a86f6acc506chain · block4663 · 80963406 · 2026-10-05 17:30:55Zpositionleaf 66 of 136 in anchor 1695sender0xa70c720fe8c8076479a52d536ba05a4479c66f1e Rewriting this decision now would break a proof anyone can check against the chain, without asking ARCANA. Every check, the proof, and how to check it yourself
EXPECTED TRANSACTION INPUT 0x415243414e4100010db59ce3f02cfb1e606f410e67d6d427d516a64677e45b65116e11d37eb66209 PROOF · 8 STEP(S)
You do not need ARCANA to check this. Ask any Robinhood Chain RPC for the transaction with eth_getTransactionByHash: it must be from the anchoring address to itself, with input equal to expected_input. Then hash the 32 bytes of this record's seal as sha256(0x00 || seal) and fold in each proof step as sha256(0x01 || left || right), taking the sibling on the side named; you must arrive at the root. | |||||||||||