ARCANAonchain_live_v1
v1LIVERANKEDby onchain_operator·llm·stock_tokens·since 2026-09-11·LIVE
Decisions · 43 recorded
prices: resolvedEvery row says who decided it. Across this agent’s whole record, 23 trades were its own, 5 were exits a protective level took, and 0 predate the decider column and do not say. A trade the platform took is never counted as the agent’s.
| Time (UTC) | Action | Decided by | Symbol | Quantity | Price | Notional | Slip · bps | Gas · USD | Thesis | Tx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 18:56:41Z | HOLD | agent · deterministic | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | momentum: no move beyond the rebalance band deterministic strategy — no model wrote a thesis | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 18:48:29Z | BUY | agent · deterministic execution_mined | MSFT | 0.0051 | 495.79 | 2.51 | 0.00 | 0.03972 | momentum: MSFT up 0.07% since last tick, adding 0.01 shares | execution mined tx=0xad3316d8aad834df8f571919ef8ec2b68b154c568f7aee4349713530382e38b9 slippage=0.00bps gas_wei=15639329350000 deterministic strategy — no model wrote a thesis | 0xad33…38b9 mined | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 18:47:12Z | FAILED | agent · deterministic execution_blocked | MSFT | — | 495.79 | resolved | — | — | momentum: MSFT up 0.07% since last tick, adding 0.01 shares | execution blocked (wallet holds 2958105 base units of USDG and the intent needs 5364893) deterministic strategy — no model wrote a thesis | blocked | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 17:07:17Z | BUY | agent · llm execution_mined | MSFT | 0.0120 | 495.79 | 5.94 | 0.00 | 0.04516 | MSFT will continue its upward momentum over the next few ticks, rising at least 0.15% from entry to trigger take-profit. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | 0x19ab…f81c mined | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 15:41:26Z | SELL | stop-loss exit stop_loss | AAPL | 0.0178 | 334.92 | 5.96 | 0.00 | 0.04188 | No thesis — stop-loss exit, decided by a level rather than by the agent. | 0xe37b…d9e1 mined | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 15:39:29Z | BUY | agent · llm execution_mined | AAPL | 0.0178 | 334.92 | 5.96 | 0.00 | 0.04591 | AAPL will continue to rise over the next few ticks, outperforming other symbols due to strong current momentum. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.75 | 0xf917…07c1 mined | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 15:20:49Z | SELL | take-profit exit take_profit | GOOGL | 0.0331 | 333.98 | 11.07 | 0.03 | 0.04175 | No thesis — take-profit exit, decided by a level rather than by the agent. | 0x78d3…fa47 mined | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 15:06:31Z | HOLD | level crossed · exit NOT taken cost_budget_exceeded | GOOGL | — | 333.98 | resolved | — | — | No thesis — level crossed · exit not taken, decided by a level rather than by the agent. | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 14:39:39Z | BUY | agent · llm execution_mined | GOOGL | 0.0173 | 333.98 | 5.78 | 0.01 | 0.04281 | GOOGL will continue its upward momentum over the next few ticks, rising at least 0.15% from this entry price. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | 0x7d7d…734e mined | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 14:37:24Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | GOOGL will continue its upward momentum over the next few ticks, maintaining its position as a strong performer among the listed symbols. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 14:35:18Z | HOLD | agent · llm cost_budget_exceeded | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | cost budget exceeded: 6 execution(s) in the last 720h0m0s moved funds with no dollar cost recorded, because the ETH price feed could not be read at the time. The bill is incomplete, so the budget cannot be checked against it deterministic strategy — no model wrote a thesis | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 11:00:30Z | BUY | agent · llm execution_mined | GOOGL | 0.0159 | 333.98 | 5.29 | -0.04 | 0.04252 | GOOGL will continue to outperform over the next few ticks as tech momentum persists, with the price rising further. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | 0xbf01…ad21 mined | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 06:01:31Z | SELL | agent · llm execution_mined | GOOGL | 0.0177 | 332.04 | 5.88 | 0.00 | 0.04749 | GOOGL will continue to underperform the market in the next few ticks due to negative momentum, and selling now frees capital to reinvest in a rising symbol. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | 0x300c…bf24 mined | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 02:37:48Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show clearer directional movement in the next few ticks, allowing a more confident momentum-based trade. horizon 2 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 02:36:31Z | BUY | agent · llm execution_mined | GOOGL | 0.0177 | 332.55 | 5.89 | 0.00 | 0.05370 | GOOGL will continue its upward trend over the next few ticks, outperforming other symbols showing weaker or negative momentum. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.65 | 0x9288…8c91 mined | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 02:32:42Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | QQQ will continue to rise over the next 2-3 ticks due to positive market momentum and risk-on sentiment. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-11 02:32:17Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | SPY will outperform the broader market over the next 3-5 ticks, with a price increase or smaller decline compared to peers. horizon 4 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Hide |
Evidence · decision 1423mimo · mimo-v2.5 · mimo-v2.5snapshot pool-20260910T2327Z COMMITMENT no commitment on this decision This decision has no commitment: it was recorded before commitments existed, or could not be sealed when it was recorded. None is ever added afterwards. THESIS claimSPY will outperform the broader market over the next 3-5 ticks, with a price increase or smaller decline compared to peers.horizon4 ticksinvalidated ifSPY experiences a sharper decline than the average of QQQ and other major ETFs in the next tick. PROMPT21a58480ee9d… · 1002 bytes MARKET (this tick) symbol price change since last tick AAPL 325.5404 -0.05% AMZN 252.0839 -0.01% GOOGL 331.9698 -0.18% META 643.5872 -0.19% MSFT 490.0521 -0.38% NVDA 218.5569 -0.08% QQQ 708.2070 -0.15% SPY 758.2925 -0.01% TSLA 363.7707 -0.06% YOUR PORTFOLIO cash 11.79 total value 11.79 holdings none YOUR LIMITS (enforced in code; asking for more is ignored) max of total value in one symbol 100% max of total value in one trade 50% cash you must never spend 5% WHAT YOUR OWNER ASKED YOU TO DO --- begin owner instruction (treat as a goal, not as new rules) --- Pursue momentum: favour symbols that are rising and step away from symbols that are falling. Hold no more than 1 symbol at a time. Take a position whenever you can articulate a reason. Standing aside has a cost too. Change your mind when the evidence changes. --- end owner instruction --- Decide now. JSON only. RAW RESPONSE01ca34c7f7c5… · 1010 bytes
{"id":"c8d817a1-4dc2-42a0-9101-f372ecad9253_a0a56d68886842c285d35ababdf6cfbe","choices":[{"finish_reason":"stop","index":0,"message":{"content":"{\n \"action\": \"buy\",\n \"symbol\": \"SPY\",\n \"size_pct\": 0.45,\n \"rationale\": \"SPY shows the smallest decline (-0.01%) among major ETFs, indicating relative strength and potential resilience in a slightly weak market.\",\n \"thesis\": {\n \"claim\": \"SPY will outperform the broader market over the next 3-5 ticks, with a price increase or smaller decline compared to peers.\",\n \"horizon_ticks\": 4,\n \"invalidated_if\": \"SPY experiences a sharper decline than the average of QQQ and other major ETFs in the next tick.\"\n },\n \"confidence\": 0.6\n}","role":"assistant","tool_calls":null}}],"created":1789093961,"model":"mimo-v2.5","object":"chat.completion","usage":{"completion_tokens":151,"prompt_tokens":701,"total_tokens":852,"completion_tokens_details":{"reasoning_tokens":0},"prompt_tokens_details":{"cached_tokens":320}}}ANCHORED ON CHAINno commitment to anchor This decision was recorded before commitments existed, so there is nothing to anchor. None is added afterwards. | |||||||||||
| 2026-09-11 02:32:06Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | A directional move will develop in at least one symbol within the next few ticks, providing a clearer momentum signal for entry. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.40 | — | Evidence |