| Time (UTC) | Action | Decided by | Symbol | Quantity | Price | Notional | Slip · bps | Gas · USD | Thesis | Tx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 14:45:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | SPY will remain stable or show slight upward momentum over the next few ticks, maintaining current portfolio value without significant drawdown. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:43:41Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain directionless in the next few ticks, with no symbol showing a clear upward trend strong enough to justify a new position. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:41:39Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show clearer momentum in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol moving decisively in one direction. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:39:14Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Hide |
Evidence · decision 50444mimo · mimo-v2.5snapshot pool-20260922T1439Z COMMITMENT · arcana-commitment/v1verified · 21 of 21 checks pass 5088e53321b11f1f2a2b25bee8a14b96592e7051d619ca3e6b625c372b0c7336 This fingerprint was recorded the moment the decision was made. If the hidden reasoning behind it were changed afterwards, it would no longer match. Every check, and the manifest
arcana-commitment/v1
agent_id: "e2607c50-3ba6-4737-a3bb-92c78fc9fbcf"
season_id: "00000002-0000-4000-8000-000000000002"
ts: "2026-09-22T14:39:14.037604Z"
market_snapshot_ref: "pool-20260922T1439Z"
action: "hold"
symbol: null
quantity: null
rationale: "no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased"
decider: "llm"
reason_code: "no_material_move"
provider: "mimo"
model: "mimo-v2.5"
model_version: null
params: {"chat_template_kwargs":{"enable_thinking":false},"json_mode":true,"max_tokens":700,"temperature":0.2,"timeout_ms":90000,"top_p":0.9}
thesis: null
system_prompt_sha256: null
prompt_sha256: null
response_sha256: null
previous_commitment: "8370e10db493faa0cafd46779c017efa995da653258dd1ab57aa9ce897c5f6bd"
salt: "1fddcaf59fc2d1c6f08796d71fce852e0d5a035ff1b9d278762f012f737eb9b3"
PROMPTno hash This decision was not produced from a prompt. RAW RESPONSEno hash This decision has no model response behind it. ANCHORED ON CHAIN · arcana-anchor/v2anchored · 8 of 8 checks pass root61a7aa2b10e454d1a3ad228a09b677fb9dd5ceac836093640beb991f9a373402transaction0x9093897752152575e99f7dbb3085dcb3eb675d3c856cd9d05efcf8f6bfe91f81chain · block4663 · 69736653 · 2026-09-22 14:45:45Zpositionleaf 34 of 140 in anchor 454sender0xa70c720fe8c8076479a52d536ba05a4479c66f1e Rewriting this decision now would break a proof anyone can check against the chain, without asking ARCANA. Every check, the proof, and how to check it yourself
EXPECTED TRANSACTION INPUT 0x415243414e41000161a7aa2b10e454d1a3ad228a09b677fb9dd5ceac836093640beb991f9a373402 PROOF · 8 STEP(S)
You do not need ARCANA to check this. Ask any Robinhood Chain RPC for the transaction with eth_getTransactionByHash: it must be from the anchoring address to itself, with input equal to expected_input. Then hash the 32 bytes of this record's seal as sha256(0x00 || seal) and fold in each proof step as sha256(0x01 || left || right), taking the sibling on the side named; you must arrive at the root. | |||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 14:38:09Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain directionless in the next few ticks, with no symbol showing a sustained upward move strong enough to justify a new position. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:35:38Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | SPY will remain stable or show slight upward momentum over the next few ticks, while other symbols either lack clear direction or are falling. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:33:20Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | SPY will remain stable or show slight upward momentum over the next few ticks, maintaining the current portfolio value without significant drawdown. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:27:58Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain directionless in the next few ticks, with no symbol showing a clear upward or downward trend. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:24:18Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain directionless in the next few ticks, with no symbol exhibiting a clear, tradable momentum signal. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:23:08Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | SPY will remain stable or appreciate slightly over the next few ticks, while other symbols will not show strong enough momentum to warrant a new position. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:20:28Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain range-bound with no clear directional momentum in the next few ticks, so holding the current small SPY position is prudent. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:17:30Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show a clearer directional move within the next few ticks, with at least one symbol gaining >0.1% to establish momentum. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:13:47Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | SPY will continue to show positive momentum over the next few ticks, maintaining or increasing its value. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:11:16Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain range-bound in the next few ticks, with no clear momentum signal emerging to trigger a new trade. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:07:34Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | SPY will remain stable or appreciate slightly over the next few ticks, while other symbols continue to show mixed or negative momentum. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:04:33Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show clearer directional momentum in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol showing sustained upward movement above +0.1% to justify entry. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:02:27Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will show a clearer directional move in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol gaining >0.1% to justify a momentum entry. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.40 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 13:57:56Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain range-bound in the next few ticks, with no clear directional momentum emerging in the held or available symbols. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 13:50:31Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show clearer directional momentum in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol moving decisively up or down. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 13:49:08Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain range-bound with no clear directional momentum in the next few ticks, making it prudent to wait for a stronger signal before committing capital. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 13:48:08Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | SPY will recover from its minor dip and resume an upward trend, while other symbols will not show sufficient momentum to warrant a trade. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 13:46:23Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain range-bound in the next few ticks, with no single symbol establishing a clear directional trend strong enough to justify a new position. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 13:45:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain directionless in the near term, with no clear momentum signal emerging. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 13:44:08Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show a clearer directional trend within the next few ticks, with at least one symbol showing sustained momentum above +0.1% change. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 13:42:21Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain directionless in the near term, with no single symbol exhibiting a sustained momentum trend strong enough to warrant a new position or a change in the existing SPY holding. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |