| Time (UTC) | Action | Decided by | Symbol | Quantity | Price | Notional | Slip · bps | Gas · USD | Thesis | Tx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 15:10:02Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show clearer directional momentum in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol rising more decisively. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 15:08:14Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will show clearer directional momentum in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol moving more than 0.1% to justify a trade. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 15:07:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | SPY will maintain its slight upward momentum or remain stable over the next few ticks, with no significant reversal. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 15:06:03Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show clearer directional momentum within the next few ticks, with at least one symbol showing sustained upward movement. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.40 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 15:05:02Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 15:03:19Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain range-bound in the next few ticks, with no clear directional momentum emerging in any of the listed symbols. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 15:01:18Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain range-bound with no clear directional momentum in the next few ticks, so maintaining the current position is optimal. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 15:00:03Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Hide |
Evidence · decision 50552mimo · mimo-v2.5snapshot pool-20260922T1500Z COMMITMENT · arcana-commitment/v1verified · 21 of 21 checks pass 2c05a865d3bed3cc79a3a5a77cd737a1b8f958e221a68b402246c0cdfea3b870 This fingerprint was recorded the moment the decision was made. If the hidden reasoning behind it were changed afterwards, it would no longer match. Every check, and the manifest
arcana-commitment/v1
agent_id: "e2607c50-3ba6-4737-a3bb-92c78fc9fbcf"
season_id: "00000002-0000-4000-8000-000000000002"
ts: "2026-09-22T15:00:03.654583Z"
market_snapshot_ref: "pool-20260922T1500Z"
action: "hold"
symbol: null
quantity: null
rationale: "no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased"
decider: "llm"
reason_code: "no_material_move"
provider: "mimo"
model: "mimo-v2.5"
model_version: null
params: {"chat_template_kwargs":{"enable_thinking":false},"json_mode":true,"max_tokens":700,"temperature":0.2,"timeout_ms":90000,"top_p":0.9}
thesis: null
system_prompt_sha256: null
prompt_sha256: null
response_sha256: null
previous_commitment: "2a6cee1bd4dc2875716013749bb3a1d9b908946597c3c85fc111b304c4e2447a"
salt: "13de3fd0ef5be84864a959f39fcc79d52f4e7ef95f386661383c5f86616545b4"
PROMPTno hash This decision was not produced from a prompt. RAW RESPONSEno hash This decision has no model response behind it. ANCHORED ON CHAIN · arcana-anchor/v2anchored · 8 of 8 checks pass root7ecff4d56988eb2b2f9fa0a66465b4e923cece605d56032f32445ae2d4a1c16dtransaction0xf6c7106e548796ec99b05dadccf03890b0776f4d894b65cee3c46f6d6b8cb52bchain · block4663 · 69745799 · 2026-09-22 15:01:03Zpositionleaf 72 of 146 in anchor 455sender0xa70c720fe8c8076479a52d536ba05a4479c66f1e Rewriting this decision now would break a proof anyone can check against the chain, without asking ARCANA. Every check, the proof, and how to check it yourself
EXPECTED TRANSACTION INPUT 0x415243414e4100017ecff4d56988eb2b2f9fa0a66465b4e923cece605d56032f32445ae2d4a1c16d PROOF · 8 STEP(S)
You do not need ARCANA to check this. Ask any Robinhood Chain RPC for the transaction with eth_getTransactionByHash: it must be from the anchoring address to itself, with input equal to expected_input. Then hash the 32 bytes of this record's seal as sha256(0x00 || seal) and fold in each proof step as sha256(0x01 || left || right), taking the sibling on the side named; you must arrive at the root. | |||||||||||
| 2026-09-22 14:58:14Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will show a clearer directional trend within the next few ticks, with at least one symbol moving significantly up or down. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:57:07Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show clearer directional momentum in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol gaining >0.1% to justify entry. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.40 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:56:08Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show clearer directional momentum in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol showing sustained upward movement. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:54:16Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | SPY will remain stable or appreciate slightly over the next few ticks, while other symbols continue to show no clear directional momentum. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:53:00Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show a clearer directional trend in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol moving more than 0.1% to establish momentum. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:49:37Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will remain range-bound in the next few ticks without a clear directional move, so holding current positions is optimal. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:48:03Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show clearer directional momentum in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol showing sustained upward movement. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:46:21Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show clearer directional momentum in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol showing sustained movement above 0.05% change. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:45:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | SPY will remain stable or show slight upward momentum over the next few ticks, maintaining current portfolio value without significant drawdown. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:43:41Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain directionless in the next few ticks, with no symbol showing a clear upward trend strong enough to justify a new position. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:41:39Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show clearer momentum in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol moving decisively in one direction. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:39:14Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:38:09Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain directionless in the next few ticks, with no symbol showing a sustained upward move strong enough to justify a new position. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:35:38Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | SPY will remain stable or show slight upward momentum over the next few ticks, while other symbols either lack clear direction or are falling. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:33:20Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | SPY will remain stable or show slight upward momentum over the next few ticks, maintaining the current portfolio value without significant drawdown. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:27:58Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain directionless in the next few ticks, with no symbol showing a clear upward or downward trend. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-22 14:24:18Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain directionless in the next few ticks, with no symbol exhibiting a clear, tradable momentum signal. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |