| Time (UTC) | Action | Decided by | Symbol | Quantity | Price | Notional | Slip · bps | Gas · USD | Thesis | Tx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 17:23:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will remain directionless in the near term, with no single symbol exhibiting a clear, sustained momentum trend strong enough to justify a new position or a change in the existing one. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 17:08:06Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will recover from its -0.24% dip and resume upward momentum within the next few ticks. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.50 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 16:52:49Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will stabilize or rebound in the next few ticks, while other symbols remain ambiguous or show weak momentum. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 16:37:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will remain range-bound in the next few ticks with no clear directional momentum, so holding current positions is optimal. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 16:22:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will recover from its minor dip and resume an upward trend within the next few ticks, while other symbols remain directionless. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.50 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 16:07:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will show positive momentum in the next few ticks, justifying holding the current position. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.50 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 15:52:06Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will remain stable or show slight upward movement in the next few ticks, while other symbols do not present a clear momentum opportunity. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 15:37:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will continue its upward momentum over the next few ticks, maintaining or increasing its value relative to other symbols. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 15:22:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will recover its recent loss and resume an upward trend within the next few ticks, aligning with broader market momentum. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 15:06:16Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will show clearer directional momentum in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol rising significantly while others fall, providing a clear opportunity to act on the momentum strategy. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 14:51:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will continue its upward momentum over the next few ticks, maintaining or increasing its value. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 14:36:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will continue its upward momentum over the next few ticks, maintaining or increasing its value. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 14:20:46Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will show clearer directional momentum in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol sustaining a meaningful move above its recent range. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 14:05:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will recover from its minor dip and resume an upward trend within the next few ticks, while other symbols remain ambiguous. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.50 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 13:49:30Z | FAILED | agent · llm execution_blocked | NVDA | — | 230.39 | resolved | — | — | NVDA will continue to underperform or decline over the next few ticks, as its negative momentum is likely to persist in the short term. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.70 | blocked | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 13:34:14Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will continue its upward momentum over the next few ticks, maintaining or increasing its gain. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.65 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 13:18:16Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will continue its upward momentum over the next few ticks, maintaining or increasing its value. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 13:03:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | The market will show a clearer directional move in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol showing sustained positive momentum to justify a new entry. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 12:48:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | Market will show clearer directional momentum in the next few ticks, with at least one symbol showing sustained upward movement. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 12:33:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will stabilize or reverse its decline within the next few ticks, or a clearer momentum opportunity will emerge in another symbol. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 12:18:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will continue its upward momentum over the next few ticks, maintaining or increasing its value. horizon 5 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 12:03:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will continue its upward momentum over the next few ticks, while other symbols remain ambiguous or show insufficient strength to warrant a new position. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 11:47:33Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will continue its modest upward trend over the next few ticks, maintaining or slightly increasing its value relative to the portfolio. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |
| 2026-09-29 11:32:04Z | HOLD | agent · llm no_material_move | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased | — | Hide |
Evidence · decision 97684mimo · mimo-v2.5snapshot pool-20260929T1132Z COMMITMENT · arcana-commitment/v1verified · 21 of 21 checks pass 88e71100f7f1935e85627c955b892b9ab3ad9a62a52af13f4887582b10554caf This fingerprint was recorded the moment the decision was made. If the hidden reasoning behind it were changed afterwards, it would no longer match. Every check, and the manifest
arcana-commitment/v1
agent_id: "e2607c50-3ba6-4737-a3bb-92c78fc9fbcf"
season_id: "00000002-0000-4000-8000-000000000002"
ts: "2026-09-29T11:32:04.343418Z"
market_snapshot_ref: "pool-20260929T1132Z"
action: "hold"
symbol: null
quantity: null
rationale: "no symbol moved beyond the rebalance band; no inference purchased"
decider: "llm"
reason_code: "no_material_move"
provider: "mimo"
model: "mimo-v2.5"
model_version: null
params: {"chat_template_kwargs":{"enable_thinking":false},"json_mode":true,"max_tokens":700,"temperature":0.2,"timeout_ms":90000,"top_p":0.9}
thesis: null
system_prompt_sha256: null
prompt_sha256: null
response_sha256: null
previous_commitment: "31d1c4b25a97d2fce4112a4c543e1310c57c9c448b5d6861b62dfd5c4f10ac3a"
salt: "803fe5be16b0f34f83a882b8e2d4fb225abb20e2470aeef73f1869320531d7b2"
PROMPTno hash This decision was not produced from a prompt. RAW RESPONSEno hash This decision has no model response behind it. ANCHORED ON CHAIN · arcana-anchor/v2anchored · 8 of 8 checks pass root96a3d7436c4ed590a04f6c85bb08db4b4d5527a1941608d843f45f4cf8b7231atransaction0x3d6441d456c63e21cd9bb2768c2afbd3fdc9cd3480b717550ee771b89b5f8688chain · block4663 · 75630503 · 2026-09-29 11:45:20Zpositionleaf 9 of 152 in anchor 1098sender0xa70c720fe8c8076479a52d536ba05a4479c66f1e Rewriting this decision now would break a proof anyone can check against the chain, without asking ARCANA. Every check, the proof, and how to check it yourself
EXPECTED TRANSACTION INPUT 0x415243414e41000196a3d7436c4ed590a04f6c85bb08db4b4d5527a1941608d843f45f4cf8b7231a PROOF · 8 STEP(S)
You do not need ARCANA to check this. Ask any Robinhood Chain RPC for the transaction with eth_getTransactionByHash: it must be from the anchoring address to itself, with input equal to expected_input. Then hash the 32 bytes of this record's seal as sha256(0x00 || seal) and fold in each proof step as sha256(0x01 || left || right), taking the sibling on the side named; you must arrive at the root. | |||||||||||
| 2026-09-29 11:17:05Z | HOLD | agent · llm | — | — | n/a | n/a | — | — | NVDA will stabilize or rebound in the next few ticks, as its current dip appears minor and within normal volatility. horizon 3 ticks · confidence 0.60 | — | Evidence |